Buyers & Sellers are Making Concessions to Close Deals; Expect Activity to Rise in 2H 2025

by Raul & Mary Beth Viruete

Total U.S. commercial real estate volume was $100.6 billion in 1Q25, up 14% year-over-year and individual asset sales were up 24% year-over-year, although both figures are below pre-pandemic levels. Retail assets performed the best, followed by industrial, multifamily and suburban offices while CBD office properties lagged behind, according to MSCI Real Assets.

Activity continues to be concentrated in secondary markets, like Phoenix, Seattle, Chicago, the Carolinas and many suburbs, while traditional gateway markets like NYC, Boston, San Francisco and Los Angeles are still seeing volume declines. Unemployment has held steady within a narrow range of 4.0% to 4.2% since May 2024 and wages grew more than expected with average hourly earnings up 3.9% from a year ago, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Nearly half the job growth came from healthcare, followed by leisure and hospitality.

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Raul & Mary Beth Viruete

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